Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:08:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc183…bddc crypto 609 markets active 13h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (260 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$404 (-14%) realized −$404 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate35%320W / 593L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day259.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,336
7 days−$1,338
14 days−$1,266
30 days−$1,266
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (260 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-30.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 647 -32.3% -38.8% 29% 26% -53.6%
≤30d 913 -23.6% -30.8% 35% 28% -37.3%
≤90d 913 -23.6% -30.8% 35% 28% -37.3%
all 913 -23.6% -30.8% 35% 28% -37.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover259.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.8% 28% -37.3%
10% ← realistic here -37.5% 18% -43.3%
15% -43.5% 16% -48.8%
20% -49.0% 14% -53.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -33% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -33% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -45% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$404
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses320 / 593
Open positions0
Markets (closed)913 / 609
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day259.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 913 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$6 -186%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$6 -186%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$5 -157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records