Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc181…0992
sports · 908 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,188 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,457 · open +$269
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$795
Realized−$7,457
Unrealized+$269
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses494 / 413
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$11,326
Open positions1
Markets (closed)907 / 908
History coverage269d
Avg bet$1,222
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 907 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$580
7 days−$13,759
14 days−$8,760
30 days−$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 46¢ 69¢ $526 $795 +$269 (+51%)
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 37¢ 0¢ $1,957 $0 −$1,957 (-100%)
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud Munar 32¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 53¢ 0¢ $834 $0 −$834 (-100%)
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguet Roberto Bautista Agut 45¢ 0¢ $983 $0 −$983 (-100%)
Mexican Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Gael Monfils Dzumhur 41¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5) Baez 60¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bublik vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Over 3.5 66¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) FC Barcelona 62¢ 0¢ $506 $0 −$506 (-100%)
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirri Borges 57¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royer Valentin Royer 75¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wong Borges 59¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 16¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Australian Open Men's: Lloyd Harris vs Federico Cina Harris 65¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Vacherot 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Laslo Djere Djere 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek Iga Swiatek 23¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau Stan Wawrinka 61¢ 0¢ $249 $0 −$249 (-100%)
Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobolli Wong 47¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9? No 32¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Ruud 48¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 11? No 27¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 27? No 27¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14? Yes 78¢ 0¢ $535 $0 −$535 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $573 −$38 -7%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $278 +$389 +140%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $94 +$83 +88%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1,014 −$1,000 -99%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $25 −$24 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $14 +$11 +74%
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Jun 08 $5,921 −$5,839 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $4,067 −$4,000 -98%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $16,893 −$5,391 -32%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2,050 −$2,000 -98%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $3,233 −$3,200 -99%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 07 $4,642 −$1,370 -30%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $3,040 +$1,592 +52%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 06 $2,227 +$891 +40%
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Henrique Rocha Jun 06 $2,029 +$1,087 +54%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 06 $1,926 −$923 -48%
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski Jun 06 $2,237 +$1,777 +80%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 05 $2,043 +$1,184 +58%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $3,062 +$3,013 +98%
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 05 $3,263 −$3,200 -98%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 05 $5,281 +$2,008 +38%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 05 $4,954 +$2,292 +46%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 04 $3,017 −$2,970 -98%
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 04 $4,641 −$4,600 -99%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic Jun 04 $2,841 +$1,814 +64%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 04 $2,936 +$847 +29%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $2,428 +$1,694 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $2,248 +$5,997 +267%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $4,051 +$2,229 +55%
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 03 $2,939 −$2,900 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $5,053 −$5,000 -99%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 02 $1,932 −$1,900 -98%
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken Jun 02 $1,457 −$1,434 -98%
Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 02 $1,328 +$1,116 +84%
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda Jun 02 $711 +$16 +2%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Jun 01 $712 −$11 -2%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $4,786 +$1,827 +38%
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton Jun 01 $3,570 −$160 -4%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $1,148 −$844 -74%
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 01 $1,827 +$1,528 +84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $2,012 +$2,882 +143%
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Vilius Gaubas Jun 01 $167 −$2 -1%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $6,299 −$2,307 -37%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $898 −$40 -4%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $3,388 −$2,241 -66%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $6,240 −$41 -1%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $5,039 +$382 +8%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $2,182 +$1,196 +55%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $1,020 +$1,113 +109%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $1,321 +$737 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$9,869
crypto 30% +$4,177
other 2% +$1,619
world 1% −$3,118
economics 0% +$10
tech 0% −$7
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 46¢ $534 49m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria SELL Nicolas Kicker 60¢ $535 49m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 63¢ $573 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 90¢ $574 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 27¢ $176 3h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 99¢ $177 3h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 52¢ $94 3h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 26¢ $94 3h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 27¢ $102 4h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 54¢ $1,014 6h
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 24¢ $25 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $25 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 56¢ $14 24h
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios BUY Tomas Barrios 53¢ $5,921 4d
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 44¢ $4,067 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar BUY Daniel Merida Aguilar 59¢ $4,758 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar SELL Henrique Rocha 42¢ $4,641 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar BUY Henrique Rocha 62¢ $7,080 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar SELL Daniel Merida Aguilar 50¢ $513 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar SELL Daniel Merida Aguilar 52¢ $1,147 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar SELL Daniel Merida Aguilar 55¢ $2,590 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar BUY Daniel Merida Aguilar 62¢ $5,056 4d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 16¢ $2,050 5d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) BUY Zverev 66¢ $3,233 5d
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava SELL Emilio Nava 50¢ $3,273 5d
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava BUY Emilio Nava 69¢ $4,642 5d
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan SELL Sebastian Baez 86¢ $4,632 5d
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan BUY Sebastian Baez 56¢ $3,040 5d
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan SELL Andre Ilagan 84¢ $3,118 5d
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan BUY Andre Ilagan 59¢ $2,227 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -5.3% -14.3% 47% 47% -37.1%
≤30d 160 +2.7% -7.0% 46% 39% -9.4%
≤90d 458 -3.2% -12.4% 52% 44% -10.9%
all 907 -2.0% -11.3% 54% 42% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 42% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 39% -18.6%
15% -27.6% 35% -26.5%
20% -34.7% 27% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $794.74 · official $794.85 (match) · 3206 history records