Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:40:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc17a…50e9
crypto · 1054 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$420 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$420 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$420
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses663 / 391
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1054 / 1054
History coverage34d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day70.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1054 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$217
7 days−$256
14 days−$267
30 days−$480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26? No 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire Warwickshire 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26? No 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$8 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$9 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$8 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$8 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$235
sports 7% −$51
other 3% −$62
weather 1% −$36
world 1% −$8
politics 0% −$9
finance 0% −$16
culture 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 776 -9.3% -18.0% 68% 58% -12.0%
≤30d 936 -14.6% -22.8% 62% 54% -13.9%
≤90d 1054 -12.0% -20.4% 63% 54% -13.2%
all 1054 -12.0% -20.4% 63% 54% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 54% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 27% -21.5%
15% -35.0% 17% -29.1%
20% -41.4% 7% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3143 history records