Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:03:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc177…2dd4
crypto · 105 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$18 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses71 / 34
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage28d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$3
14 days+$5
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 27 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 27 $1 +$1 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 27 $1 +$1 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 25 $2 +$3 +143%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 25 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 25 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 25 $2 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 25 $2 +$1 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 25 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 24 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 24 $3 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 24 $2 +$2 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$16
other 4% +$3
sports 3% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +2.2% -7.5% 61% 61% -2.0%
≤30d 105 +8.4% -2.0% 68% 64% -0.3%
≤90d 105 +8.4% -2.0% 68% 64% -0.3%
all 105 +8.4% -2.0% 68% 64% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.0% 64% -0.3%
10% -11.3% 62% -9.8%
15% -19.9% 50% -18.5%
20% -27.8% 35% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 190 history records