Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:42:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc176…5d01
weather · 447 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses232 / 209
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)441 / 447
History coverage31d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day41.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$23
14 days+$36
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 81¢ 81¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? No 68¢ 66¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? No 71¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-20%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 28? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 25? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 25? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 20? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 27? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 6? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 24? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 19? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 30? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? No 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -38%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $108 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -75%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +105%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $27 +$11 +40%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $83 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $86 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -77%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -73%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $40 +$1 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $36 +$5 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -78%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -33%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $17 +$3 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $46 −$3 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 −$2 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10? Jun 11 $30 −$10 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 94% +$10
other 2% +$1
crypto 2% −$6
sports 2% +$2
politics 0% +$1
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 81¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 68¢ $20 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 1¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $63 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 71¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 92¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 82¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 65¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 70¢ $14 3h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 13¢ $1 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 48¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $38 5h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) SELL Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $4 5h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 6¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $25 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $15 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 80¢ $25 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 80¢ $16 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 78¢ $40 6h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 73¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 76¢ $43 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 73¢ $43 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 79¢ $20 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -8.6% -17.3% 56% 29% -7.9%
≤30d 389 -9.9% -18.5% 52% 32% -8.7%
≤90d 441 -10.2% -18.7% 53% 35% -9.0%
all 441 -10.2% -18.7% 53% 35% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 35% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 22% -17.7%
15% -33.6% 17% -25.6%
20% -40.1% 11% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.62 · official $57.63 (match) · 1329 history records