Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:19:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc170…3215
crypto · 1655 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1464 / 191
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1655 / 1655
History coverage115d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1655 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$8
14 days+$7
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? No 95¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$12
world 0% $0
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? BUY No 95¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 387 +1.0% -8.6% 91% 40% -7.4%
≤30d 573 +1.4% -8.2% 90% 49% -7.1%
≤90d 786 +0.8% -8.8% 88% 55% -8.1%
all 1655 +0.3% -9.2% 88% 28% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 28% -9.1%
10% -17.9% 2% -17.8%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.61 · official $2.30 (match) · 3500 history records