Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc16a…d1e4
other · 433 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$3,186 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,478 · open −$515
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,264
Realized+$3,478
Unrealized−$515
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses226 / 191
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$301
Open positions16
Markets (closed)417 / 433
History coverage53d
Avg bet$333
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 16 History 417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$204
7 days−$1,803
14 days−$4,848
30 days−$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 56¢ 56¢ $704 $693 −$11 (-2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $433 $440 +$7 (+2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 63¢ 100¢ $225 $355 +$130 (+58%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $117 $118 +$1 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $105 $107 +$1 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $104 $105 +$1 (+1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $98 $95 −$3 (-3%)
Will France win on 2026-06-22? No 14¢ 12¢ $101 $83 −$18 (-18%)
Will England win on 2026-06-27? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $68 $67 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $49 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $43 $44 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? No 40¢ 38¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 83¢ 82¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-4%)
Will France win on 2026-06-26? No 48¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 49¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes 67¢ 69¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 49¢ 0¢ $492 $0 −$491 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,473 −$16 -1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $777 −$340 -44%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $118 +$119 +101%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 $0 -2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $962 +$645 +67%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $585 −$444 -76%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $624 −$604 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $691 +$312 +45%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $79 −$76 -95%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $624 +$206 +33%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,013 +$16 +2%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $497 +$3 +1%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $70 −$58 -84%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $1,129 +$106 +9%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,668 +$132 +8%
Will Mongolia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 10 $49 +$1 +1%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $231 +$19 +8%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $876 +$309 +35%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +17%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $190 +$72 +38%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $19 +$8 +42%
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw? Jun 09 $16 +$2 +12%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $17 +$1 +8%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $1,413 −$233 -16%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $236 +$23 +10%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $749 −$49 -7%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $92 +$9 +10%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $34 +$10 +28%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,423 −$462 -32%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $192 +$19 +10%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 09 $475 +$107 +22%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $778 −$721 -93%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $93 +$36 +38%
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Jun 09 $53 +$6 +12%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $675 +$65 +10%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +226%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $183 +$32 +17%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $65 −$42 -64%
Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1,746 −$103 -6%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $42 +$1 +2%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $63 −$48 -77%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1,492 +$92 +6%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $19 −$1 -4%
Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 08 $842 −$833 -99%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $24 −$23 -97%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $117 −$16 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% +$268
sports 26% +$2,734
world 2% −$116
crypto 1% +$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 56¢ $689 1m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 69¢ $24 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 54m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 92¢ $207 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 89¢ $8 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 12¢ $67 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $2 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $2,048 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $371 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $31 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $18 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $91 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $237 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $2 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 6¢ $9 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $108 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 94¢ $426 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $20 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $9 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $8 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $7 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $6 4h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $3 17h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 20h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $263 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +24.3% +12.4% 54% 33% -16.1%
≤30d 240 +1.1% -8.6% 54% 36% -9.4%
≤90d 417 -0.5% -10.0% 54% 36% -7.0%
all 417 -0.5% -10.0% 54% 36% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 36% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 24% -15.9%
15% -26.5% 17% -24.0%
20% -33.7% 12% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,264.22 · official $2,251.84 (match) · 3030 history records