Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:47:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc165…8c0d crypto 607 markets active 0h ago coverage 88d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$7 (-1%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate85%516W / 91L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day8.4pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$6
14 days−$8
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$13
other 13% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 548 -1.4% -10.8% 89% 16% -10.6%
≤30d 575 -2.5% -11.8% 86% 16% -11.6%
≤90d 607 -2.2% -11.5% 85% 18% -11.2%
all 607 -2.2% -11.5% 85% 18% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 18% -11.2%
10% -20.0% 3% -19.7%
15% -27.7% 1% -27.4%
20% -34.8% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses516 / 91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)607 / 607
History coverage88d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 607 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1290 history records