trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 34 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 15% | 6% | -18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.7% | 6% | -18.6% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 6% | -26.4% |
| 15% | -42.6% | 6% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 3% | -40.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $529 | $529 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $406 | $406 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $486 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $529 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $1,016 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $1,020 | −$2 | -0% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 16 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. White Sox | Aug 13 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 02 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 28 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 09 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 08 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 08 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 02 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Dec 30 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Dec 27 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| South Florida vs. San José State | Dec 26 | $142 | −$142 | -100% |
| Will Pearse Doherty be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? | Dec 24 | $3 | −$2 | -67% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Dec 04 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Winner | Oct 16 | $55 | +$26 | +47% |
| WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3 | Oct 07 | $29 | +$19 | +67% |