Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:11:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc161…bd88
sports · 1483 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$376 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$694 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$125
Realized−$694
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses789 / 690
Est. fees paid−$383
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1479 / 1483
History coverage78d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 1479 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days−$389
14 days+$76
30 days−$367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 30¢ 100¢ $31 $103 +$72 (+232%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 68¢ 68¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 33¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 37¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Cloud9 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 31¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Connecticut Sun 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $27 +$16 +57%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$54 +174%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$22 +61%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$12 +76%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $18 +$36 +196%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$8 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $39 +$10 +26%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $25 +$10 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $16 +$41 +248%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$12 +83%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $45 +$41 +93%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$11 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $35 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $28 +$79 +283%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$14 +139%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $17 −$17 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$16 +52%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 +$14 +129%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$18 +172%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$2 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $38 +$25 +66%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$32 +101%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$739
other 4% +$40
crypto 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $32 46m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $15 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $25 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 68¢ $22 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $21 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $27 8h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 21¢ $5 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 50¢ $15 9h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 38¢ $20 10h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 56¢ $15 13h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 59¢ $2 13h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 36¢ $20 13h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 78¢ $30 14h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 58¢ $10 15h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 63¢ $26 15h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 30¢ $6 15h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 37¢ $25 16h
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) BUY Legacy 33¢ $18 17h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $39 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $25 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 40¢ $2 18h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $14 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 27¢ $14 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 1¢ $7 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $51 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 30¢ $12 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -20.0% -27.6% 42% 40% -21.6%
≤30d 562 +0.0% -9.5% 54% 52% -11.7%
≤90d 1479 -3.6% -12.7% 53% 51% -11.4%
all 1479 -3.6% -12.7% 53% 51% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 51% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 44% -19.9%
15% -28.7% 37% -27.6%
20% -35.7% 29% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.77 · official $124.77 (match) · 3500 history records