trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -88.9% | -90.0% | 0% | 0% | -86.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -51.6% | -56.2% | 19% | 15% | -49.2% |
| all | 26 | -51.6% | -56.2% | 19% | 15% | -49.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.2% | 15% | -49.2% |
| 10% | -60.4% | 15% | -54.1% |
| 15% | -64.3% | 4% | -58.5% |
| 20% | -67.8% | 4% | -62.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+42%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+24%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | May 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Magic | May 19 | $3 | −$2 | -56% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 8? | Apr 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Apr 06 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 6? | Apr 05 | $5 | −$2 | -45% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5? | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -78% |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-03? | Apr 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 3? | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 5? | Apr 04 | $5 | −$2 | -41% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 3? | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -88% |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-03? | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03? | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic | Apr 03 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | -26% |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw? | Apr 02 | $4 | +$3 | +72% |
| Blues vs. Kings | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Apr 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Avalanche | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -42% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 01 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $5 | +$2 | +31% |