Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:22:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc15c…2ca2 crypto 659 markets active 5d ago coverage 20d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$553 (-6%) realized −$553 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate56%368W / 291L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day58.1pace
Fees−$11est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$61
14 days−$514
30 days−$1,078
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$752
sports 5% −$293
other 3% −$28
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -16.5% -24.5% 44% 28% -15.7%
≤30d 659 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 42% -19.9%
≤90d 659 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 42% -19.9%
all 659 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 42% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 42% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 31% -27.5%
15% -28.4% 21% -34.5%
20% -35.5% 14% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$11 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$553
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses368 / 291
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)659 / 659
History coverage20d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 659 Trades
no open positions (158 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$30 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$18 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$20 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$33 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$20 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$30 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$30 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$29 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$15 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$20 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$81 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$15 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $31 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $19 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $38 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $52 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $39 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $31 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $28 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1642 history records