Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc155…e36b
sports · 460 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses241 / 203
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions16
Markets (closed)444 / 460
History coverage20d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day148.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 16 History 444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$171
7 days−$154
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 86¢ 88¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 48¢ 30¢ $9 $6 −$3 (-37%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 59¢ 64¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+8%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 87¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+15%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 79¢ 81¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC end in a draw? No 80¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+25%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 73¢ 71¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 77¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 77¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 74¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 76¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 19¢ 36¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Julie Struplova 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $49 +$7 +14%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $27 +$4 +13%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $51 +$5 +11%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $23 +$1 +6%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $32 −$4 -12%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $8 +$5 +63%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $34 −$4 -13%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $7 −$4 -50%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $7 +$4 +54%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $6 −$2 -43%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $8 −$2 -29%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $35 −$8 -24%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $36 −$5 -14%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $28 −$4 -16%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $19 −$3 -17%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $17 +$2 +12%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $14 +$2 +18%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $3 $0 +18%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Lauryn John-Baptiste Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 12 $16 +$1 +6%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 12 $13 +$5 +37%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 12 $32 +$6 +18%
ITF Wuning: Anchisa Chanta vs Mai Hontama Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$21
other 14% −$2
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Jack Pinnington Jones 32¢ $2 3m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 74¢ $1 6m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 53¢ $3 6m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 72¢ $1 7m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 89¢ $3 9m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 64¢ $1 9m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ $2 12m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $2 13m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 56¢ $2 15m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 56¢ $2 18m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 43¢ $1 18m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $1 21m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $1 24m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 50¢ $1 25m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 78¢ $2 25m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 92¢ $2 26m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 92¢ $1 27m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 96¢ $2 27m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 78¢ $1 28m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Carlos Maria Zarate 42¢ $1 31m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 79¢ $1 31m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 72¢ $1 34m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 74¢ $3 41m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 77¢ $1 41m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 71¢ $1 46m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 72¢ $1 47m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 63¢ $2 48m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 62¢ $2 51m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 80¢ $1 54m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $1 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 268 -11.7% -20.1% 52% 30% -14.8%
≤30d 444 -1.8% -11.1% 54% 36% -9.9%
≤90d 444 -1.8% -11.1% 54% 36% -9.9%
all 444 -1.8% -11.1% 54% 36% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 36% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 24% -18.6%
15% -27.4% 16% -26.4%
20% -34.5% 11% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.94 · official $54.00 (match) · 3500 history records