Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:05:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc154…fe6f
crypto · 567 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$131 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$131 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses323 / 244
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)567 / 567
History coverage95d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 567 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau Stan Wawrinka 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Alexander Zverev 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$98
other 14% −$16
sports 3% −$13
world 1% −$2
finance 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -3.0% -12.2% 63% 47% -11.7%
≤30d 144 -7.0% -15.8% 59% 48% -13.8%
≤90d 548 -8.9% -17.5% 57% 48% -15.5%
all 567 -8.2% -17.0% 57% 47% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 47% -15.3%
10% -24.9% 37% -23.4%
15% -32.2% 27% -30.8%
20% -38.8% 19% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1176 history records