Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:54:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc14c…8da0
crypto · 1594 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$100 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$126 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$126
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses217 / 1393
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1610 / 1594
History coverage3d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day181.1
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1610 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$126
14 days+$126
30 days+$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$24 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$25 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$24 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$22 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$42 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$44 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$17 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$430
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $22 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1610 -0.6% -10.1% 13% 13% -9.3%
≤30d 1610 -0.6% -10.1% 13% 13% -9.3%
≤90d 1610 -0.6% -10.1% 13% 13% -9.3%
all 1610 -0.6% -10.1% 13% 13% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover181.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 13% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 13% -18.0%
15% -26.6% 11% -25.9%
20% -33.8% 7% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.25 (match) · 3500 history records