trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -31.4% | -37.9% | 22% | 22% | -14.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 24% | 24% | -19.5% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -41.7% | -47.3% | 21% | 21% | -22.1% |
| all | 24 | -41.7% | -47.3% | 21% | 21% | -22.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.3% | 21% | -22.1% |
| 10% | -52.3% | 21% | -29.5% |
| 15% | -56.9% | 21% | -36.3% |
| 20% | -61.1% | 21% | -42.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $569 | $670 | +$101 (+18%) |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | France | 17¢ | 16¢ | $475 | $461 | −$14 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $131 | −$128 | -98% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 | Jun 25 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $154 | −$150 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 25 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $294 | +$734 | +250% |
| Spread: Morocco (-2.5) | Jun 24 | $169 | −$166 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | +$32 | +124% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $256 | −$250 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: Croatia (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 22 | $22 | +$57 | +256% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $350 | +$721 | +206% |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London | Jun 20 | $101 | −$99 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 18 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Mar 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Mar 30 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros | Mar 30 | $51 | −$51 | -99% |