Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc14b…2cca
crypto · 24 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$9 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses12 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage15d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$11
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$12 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 31 $1 +$2 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 29 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $25 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $19 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $11 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $19 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $18 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $11 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 50% -6.1%
≤30d 24 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -5.8%
≤90d 24 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -5.8%
all 24 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.2% 50% -5.8%
10% -15.2% 38% -14.8%
15% -23.4% 29% -23.0%
20% -30.9% 25% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 52 history records