Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T10:19:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
C1 0xc120…b9f1 crypto 1092 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$37,126 (+133%) realized +$37,126 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +47% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +13% what you keep after slip
Net edge+13%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate66%727W / 369L
Drawdown7%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day123.5pace
Kalshi-fit71%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 19d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% +$5,412
other 28% +$672
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (123 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 406 +40.6% +27.2% 65% 64% +5.0%
≤30d 1096 +47.3% +33.3% 66% 65% +9.1%
≤90d 1096 +47.3% +33.3% 66% 65% +9.1%
all 1096 +47.3% +33.3% 66% 65% +9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover123.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +33.3% 65% +9.1%
10% ← realistic here +20.6% 65% -1.3%
15% +8.9% 64% -10.9%
20% -1.8% 38% -19.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +22% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +47% · $-wt +22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +55% → late +39% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$23 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.72 per $1 lost it wins $1.72
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$37,126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses727 / 369
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1096 / 1092
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day123.5
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit71%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1096 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +70%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +37%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +223%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +41%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$12 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $34 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$11 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $27 +$14 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$15 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$52 +2668%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$62 +371%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $27 +$25 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$12 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$20 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$5 +49%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$12 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $89 −$7 -8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$9 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$50 +188%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$22 +94%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $28 +$80 +285%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$31 +190%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $18 +$18 +96%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$8 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$8 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$44 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $41 −$26 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$21 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $33 +$8 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$3 +41%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$102 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$28 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$8 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 24m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 34m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $27 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $21 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $13 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $30 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.82 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records