Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc120…a7e3
weather · 530 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,333 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,000 · open −$413
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$3,000
Unrealized−$413
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses101 / 293
Open positions113
Markets (closed)394 / 530
History coverage7d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day180.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 113 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$3,020
14 days−$3,000
30 days−$3,000
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? No 20¢ 3¢ $8 $1 −$7 (-86%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 10? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5? No 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 6? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 6? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 5? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12? No 13¢ 2¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-84%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Yes 9¢ 2¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-82%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 6? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 9? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11? No 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11? No 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Yes 9¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1000%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 9? No 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 12 $0 +$18 +21651%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 +$87 +107912%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 5? Jun 12 $0 +$28 +42016%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 +$35 +81780%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 +$15 +97027%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on April 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on June Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 21? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 22? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 8? Jun 12 $0 +$15 +47370%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 21? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +4519%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on April 21? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -11363%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 27? Jun 12 $0 +$8 +16670%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 7? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1298%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 21? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on April 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on April 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on June 6? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 21? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 6? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 13? Jun 12 $0 +$43 +667739%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 6? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 21? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -11363%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 27? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -4027%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 20? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on April 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +10311%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on June Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 21? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 6? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 28? Jun 12 $0 +$20 +32294%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 27? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -4027%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ap Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 97% −$3,790
other 3% −$355
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 6¢ $1 46m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 6¢ $2 46m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 6¢ $0 46m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $59 46m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 6¢ $1 46m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 33¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 62¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 61¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $38 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 20¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 22¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 39¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 35¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 35¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 35¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 39¢ $11 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $38 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 39¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 34¢ $6 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 34¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 34¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 34¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? BUY No 80¢ $32 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 34¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 81¢ $33 3h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 82¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+141.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 387 +166.9% +141.5% 25% 21% -66.9%
≤30d 390 +167.4% +141.9% 25% 21% -66.5%
≤90d 390 +167.4% +141.9% 25% 21% -66.5%
all 390 +167.4% +141.9% 25% 21% -66.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover180.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +141.9% 21% -66.5%
10% ← realistic here +118.8% 19% -69.7%
15% +97.7% 18% -72.6%
20% +78.3% 17% -75.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.53 · official $5.00 · 3500 history records