Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:11:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C1
0xc11c…533d
sports · 679 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$112 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$106
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses437 / 238
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions4
Markets (closed)675 / 679
History coverage57d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 4 History 675 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$23
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 65¢ 62¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-4%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 14¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-75%)
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-29? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andrade Thiago Monteiro 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Toronto Blue Jays 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Wild Wild 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-19? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Sabres Sabres 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +18%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $4 +$1 +23%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +38%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +29%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 $0 +13%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2 +$1 +29%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +8%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +21%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +31%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $2 +$1 +32%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $2 +$1 +36%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +29%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nouza/Oberleitner vs Bolelli/Vavassori Jun 02 $2 +$1 +42%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +18%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $1 +$1 +59%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $2 $0 +16%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +19%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 37% −$34
crypto 33% −$10
other 28% −$60
tech 1% −$8
world 1% −$1
economics 0% $0
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $7 48m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $7 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $11 51m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $8 7h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 32h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 2d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 84¢ $2 4d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 4d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 84¢ $3 5d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Alexander Zverev 100¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 39¢ $2 6d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 84¢ $15 6d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 76¢ $3 6d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 67¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -17.1% -25.0% 62% 54% -26.8%
≤30d 134 -6.2% -15.1% 66% 61% -22.9%
≤90d 675 -3.6% -12.7% 65% 53% -17.0%
all 675 -3.6% -12.7% 65% 53% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 53% -17.0%
10% -21.1% 39% -25.0%
15% -28.7% 27% -32.2%
20% -35.7% 19% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.26 · official $28.26 (match) · 1388 history records