Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T02:19:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C1 0xc100…8030 crypto 58 markets active 0h ago coverage 185d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$47 (+3%) realized +$47 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate40%23W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day0.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$284
7 days−$284
14 days−$284
30 days−$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$341
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -22.8% -30.1% 38% 38% -26.2%
≤30d 45 -22.8% -30.1% 38% 38% -26.2%
≤90d 45 -22.8% -30.1% 38% 38% -26.2%
all 58 -19.4% -27.1% 40% 38% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.1% 38% -27.0%
10% -34.1% 36% -34.0%
15% -40.5% 36% -40.4%
20% -46.3% 36% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -39% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$29 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

185d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses23 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage185d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 58 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$45 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$45 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$43 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $72 +$60 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $62 +$56 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$36 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 23 $31 +$21 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$24 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Dec 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Dec 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Dec 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Dec 22 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Dec 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 111 history records