Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:39:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0fa…22e5 crypto 1830 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (120 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$51 (-1%) realized −$51 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate78%1550W / 445L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day119.6pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$200
7 days−$190
14 days−$247
30 days−$238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$32
other 13% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (120 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 632 -26.2% -33.2% 44% 44% -35.1%
≤30d 1995 -8.0% -16.7% 78% 16% -15.0%
≤90d 1995 -8.0% -16.7% 78% 16% -15.0%
all 1995 -8.0% -16.7% 78% 16% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 16% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 14% -23.1%
15% -32.0% 14% -30.5%
20% -38.6% 12% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1550 / 445
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1995 / 1830
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day119.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1995 Trades
no open positions (388 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records