Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0f1…8680 sports 468 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$22,943 (+24%) realized +$23,049 · open −$106
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -45% what you keep after slip
Net edge-45%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate30%226W / 533L
Whale WR77%big bets
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$204per market
Trades / day138.8pace
Fees−$1,800est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$350now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$23,826
other 0% −$313
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-35.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 508 -57.3% -61.4% 19% 19% -17.9%
≤30d 759 -28.1% -35.0% 30% 29% -8.8%
≤90d 759 -28.1% -35.0% 30% 29% -8.8%
all 759 -28.1% -35.0% 30% 29% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover138.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.0% 29% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -41.2% 27% -17.5%
15% -46.9% 26% -25.5%
20% -52.1% 24% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 77% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +29% → late -86% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$203 vs −$85 · ×2.38 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$350
Realized+$23,049
Unrealized−$106
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses226 / 533
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$1,800
Open positions5
Markets (closed)759 / 468
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$204
Trades / day138.8
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 759 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs DXA Esports 17¢ 54¢ $65 $204 +$140 (+216%)
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner Alpha Gaming 40¢ 8¢ $324 $70 −$254 (-79%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Bebop 43¢ 44¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+2%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $22 $26 +$4 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D ODDIK Academy 32¢ 50¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+55%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 495 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $122 −$122 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $142 −$142 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Clair Obscur (BO3) - CCT Europe Cl Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs TNC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Serie Jun 17 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 17 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs hypewrld (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - BC Game Maste Jun 17 $73 −$73 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Gro Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Grou Jun 17 $53 −$53 -100%
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Closed Qua Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $260 −$260 -100%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs Hermine Esports Club - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 17 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs Jun 17 $67 −$67 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $541 −$541 -100%
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North A Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South Amer Jun 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Gr Jun 17 $76 −$76 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia- Jun 17 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Jun 17 $72 −$76 -104%
Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Ser Jun 17 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Se Jun 17 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $143 −$143 -100%
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challeng Jun 17 $88 −$84 -96%
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Jun 17 $90 −$90 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series P Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 17 $194 −$194 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $61 −$61 -100%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Ser Jun 17 $71 −$71 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $135 −$135 -100%
Counter-Strike: VP.Future 2 vs Hermine Esports Club (BO3) - Exort Seri Jun 17 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Time Waves vs low cortisol (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leag Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: hindsight vs BOJONG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regul Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Damajuana vs Players - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Euro Jun 17 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Fina Jun 17 $137 −$137 -100%
Counter-Strike: BOJONG vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Reg Jun 17 $32 −$38 -118%
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $72 −$72 -100%
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 17 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Kinoa (BO3) - European Pro League Regul Jun 17 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Gro Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Alpha Gaming 49¢ $3 16m
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Alpha Gaming 49¢ $1 16m
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Alpha Gaming 49¢ $11 16m
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Alpha Gaming 49¢ $11 16m
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY Alpha Gaming 39¢ $302 16m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Sta BUY Bebop 43¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Pl BUY DXA Esports 19¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Pl BUY DXA Esports 19¢ $37 1h
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Pl BUY DXA Esports 14¢ $20 12h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 47¢ $72 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 39¢ $6 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 49¢ $74 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 42¢ $36 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 42¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 42¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 42¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 42¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 42¢ $18 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 41¢ $41 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 16¢ $18 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 25¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 25¢ $8 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $7 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 25¢ $11 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $5 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $9 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 BUY AaB Bulls 28¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $350.13 · official $373.99 · 3500 history records