Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T05:19:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C0 0xc0f1…4c15 sports 345 markets active 1h ago coverage 212d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$181 (+0%) realized +$181 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate86%296W / 49L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$210per market
Trades / day8.6pace
Fees−$64est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$88
14 days+$103
30 days+$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% +$154
other 4% +$16
politics 1% +$3
economics 0% −$11
world 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 99 -0.1% -9.6% 93% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 292 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 5% -9.3%
all 345 -2.6% -11.9% 86% 8% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 8% -9.3%
10% -20.3% 3% -18.0%
15% -28.0% 1% -25.9%
20% -35.1% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -5% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$26 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

212d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses296 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)345 / 345
History coverage212d
Avg bet$210
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 345 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $199 +$1 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan Jun 17 $670 +$4 +0%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 17 $292 +$3 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $678 +$2 +0%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $380 $0 +0%
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 16 $598 +$2 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka Jun 16 $188 +$4 +2%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 15 $483 +$7 +2%
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 15 $147 +$3 +2%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $257 +$2 +1%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $281 +$1 +0%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $59 +$1 +1%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $495 +$4 +1%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $195 +$5 +3%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $336 +$14 +4%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $196 +$4 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $627 +$6 +1%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $357 +$5 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $51 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $182 +$4 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $498 +$2 +0%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $381 +$9 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $146 +$4 +3%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $16 +$1 +8%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: United Arab Emirates vs Malaysia Jun 10 $150 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Japan Jun 10 $199 $0 +0%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 10 $200 $0 +0%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $199 +$1 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 09 $167 +$3 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Mongolia vs Myanmar Jun 09 $80 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Thailand Jun 09 $90 +$1 +1%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $347 +$3 +1%
Test Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Match goes to Jun 08 $146 −$22 -15%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire Jun 08 $98 +$3 +3%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 08 $435 +$5 +1%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $211 +$7 +3%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Philippines Jun 07 $50 $0 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Japan Jun 07 $22 +$2 +7%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Myanmar vs Thailand Jun 07 $20 $0 +1%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Oman Jun 07 $101 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Kuwait vs Singapore Jun 06 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 06 $239 −$2 -1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $106 +$4 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 100¢ $200 1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan SELL South Africa 98¢ $147 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 98¢ $98 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 98¢ $49 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan SELL South Africa 98¢ $155 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan SELL South Africa 97¢ $26 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan SELL South Africa 93¢ $167 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 93¢ $5 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 94¢ $9 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 94¢ $9 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 95¢ $19 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 95¢ $10 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 96¢ $10 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 98¢ $294 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan SELL South Africa 99¢ $179 10h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 97¢ $49 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 96¢ $29 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 91¢ $51 11h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan BUY South Africa 91¢ $40 11h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 100¢ $150 15h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 99¢ $1 16h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 98¢ $10 16h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 98¢ $20 16h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 98¢ $20 16h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 98¢ $20 17h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 99¢ $49 17h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 99¢ $15 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2064 history records