Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T16:22:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0e7…a1b8 other 6 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$14 (-3%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$86per market
Trades / day3.1pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 47% −$20
world 37% −$4
economics 16% −$9
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -6.3% -15.2% 0% 0% -15.4%
≤30d 6 -6.1% -15.1% 0% 0% -15.4%
≤90d 6 -6.1% -15.1% 0% 0% -15.4%
all 6 -6.1% -15.1% 0% 0% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 0% -15.4%
10% -23.2% 0% -23.5%
15% -30.6% 0% -30.9%
20% -37.4% 0% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$6 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage10d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Jun 23 $160 −$16 -10%
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $80 −$4 -6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Jun 22 $81 −$4 -4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 18 $80 −$9 -11%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 18 $111 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? SELL Yes 38¢ $67 1h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? BUY Yes 44¢ $80 2h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? SELL No 66¢ $77 11h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? BUY No 67¢ $80 11h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $76 16h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 33¢ $80 16h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $21 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $24 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $0 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $41 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $10 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $44 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $3 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $3 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $0 38h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 38h
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 18¢ $1 4d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 18¢ $15 4d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 18¢ $13 4d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 18¢ $41 4d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 20¢ $80 4d
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 38¢ $80 5d
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 38¢ $80 5d
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 62¢ $31 5d
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 62¢ $31 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records