Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0e6…fccc
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses21 / 31
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 53
History coverage463d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 60¢ 56¢ $31 $29 −$2 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 10 $17 +$2 +12%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $29 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 08 $15 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $29 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $28 $0 +1%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $32 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? Jul 16 $1 −$1 -64%
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament? Jun 24 $7 +$2 +30%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 22 $8 $0 -0%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? Jun 17 $6 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 17 $3 −$1 -26%
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 17 $6 $0 -0%
Ethereum above $2,800 on June 17? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -90%
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? Jun 16 $26 $0 +0%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? Jun 16 $9 $0 +0%
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 15 $9 $0 -1%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? Jun 14 $9 $0 -1%
US military action against Iran before July? Jun 12 $14 −$9 -61%
Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of N Jun 09 $17 $0 +1%
Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday? Jun 08 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3? Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect Jun 08 $15 +$2 +14%
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese leg May 20 $0 $0 -100%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? May 15 $15 $0 -0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? May 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025? May 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? May 11 $15 $0 -0%
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? May 11 $31 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? May 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect May 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? May 09 $12 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec May 09 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum all time high by June 30? May 09 $16 $0 -1%
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? May 08 $1 −$1 -70%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 May 08 $15 $0 +0%
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? May 08 $16 $0 -1%
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope? May 07 $16 $0 +0%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? May 06 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? May 05 $17 +$1 +7%
Arsenal wins the Premier League? Mar 26 $15 $0 -0%
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 23 $1 $0 -4%
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 14-21? Mar 21 $16 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on March 19? Mar 20 $16 $0 +1%
Will another show be the top global Netflix show this week? Mar 19 $16 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 17? Mar 17 $16 $0 +1%
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 17 $1 $0 -8%
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 16 $16 $0 -1%
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? Mar 16 $16 $0 +0%
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14? Mar 15 $14 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 32% −$8
other 29% +$4
politics 8% +$2
crypto 7% $0
economics 6% $0
sports 6% $0
weather 4% $0
finance 4% $0
tech 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 60¢ $21 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 60¢ $10 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $34 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $34 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 27¢ $19 40h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 24¢ $17 42h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 90¢ $29 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $20 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $9 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 35¢ $15 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 35¢ $13 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 35¢ $2 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 68¢ $32 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 68¢ $32 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $25 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL No 50¢ $4 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 50¢ $22 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 50¢ $4 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 50¢ $4 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $29 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $2 7d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $26 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $32 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $32 7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 331d
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament? BUY No 77¢ $7 355d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 98¢ $8 355d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $8 359d
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? SELL No 98¢ $6 359d
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 359d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 17% -7.9%
≤30d 7 +2.1% -7.6% 43% 14% -8.2%
≤90d 7 +2.1% -7.6% 43% 14% -8.2%
all 52 -6.4% -15.3% 40% 8% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 8% -9.6%
10% -23.4% 2% -18.2%
15% -30.8% 0% -26.1%
20% -37.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.86 · official $28.86 (match) · 140 history records