Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:40:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0cf…8bcb
sports · 755 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$1,844 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,077 · open −$2,522
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$7,544
Realized−$1,077
Unrealized−$2,522
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses306 / 441
Whale WR (big bets)28%
Est. fees paid−$892
Open positions7
Markets (closed)747 / 755
History coverage96d
Avg bet$821
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 7 History 747 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,157
7 days−$1,427
14 days−$522
30 days−$906
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 50¢ 83¢ $1,545 $2,569 +$1,024 (+66%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3,238 $1,471 −$1,767 (-55%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $754 $938 +$185 (+24%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $750 $831 +$80 (+11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $1,545 $521 −$1,024 (-66%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $500 $454 −$47 (-9%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $501 $451 −$50 (-10%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $208 $309 +$101 (+49%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winner Geek Fam ID 51¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? Jun 13 $9 +$11 +123%
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $63 −$17 -26%
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $38 −$1 -2%
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Will Harry Kane score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Will Kylian Mbappe score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $13 −$1 -6%
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $62 −$5 -8%
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $22 −$2 -7%
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 12 $37 −$3 -7%
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Will João Cancelo be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 12 $22 $0 -1%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $64 −$3 -5%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $136 −$10 -7%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $68 −$2 -2%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $82 −$4 -4%
Exact Score: América FC 0 - 0 AC Goianiense? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 11 $66 −$66 -100%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $252 −$252 -100%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 11 $442 −$442 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 11 $271 −$271 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winne Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $104 −$4 -4%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $213 −$7 -3%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $0 $0 +104%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $0 $0 -3%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $24 −$6 -26%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $15 $0 -1%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $92,390 $0 +0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $26,782 $0 +0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 09 $1,074 −$1 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $143,722 $0 +0%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $11 +$20 +182%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $324 −$94 -29%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 08 $20 −$1 -6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $78 −$3 -3%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $18 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $23 −$3 -14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $1,400 −$44 -3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,485 −$15 -1%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $102 +$1 +1%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $232 −$10 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $8 $0 -2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $292 −$13 -4%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $538 −$46 -9%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $508 −$11 -2%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $76 −$3 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% −$2,848
sports 7% −$174
world 2% −$172
crypto 1% −$310
tech 0% −$91
weather 0% −$7
politics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? SELL Yes 39¢ $11 1h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? SELL Yes 40¢ $8 1h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 15¢ $9 2h
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 55¢ $10 11h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL No 84¢ $38 11h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 85¢ $38 11h
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 59¢ $12 12h
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11? SELL Yes 84¢ $4 12h
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11? BUY Yes 85¢ $4 12h
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 72¢ $8 12h
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 83¢ $17 15h
Will Harry Kane score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 95¢ $6 16h
Will Harry Kane score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 94¢ $6 16h
Will Kylian Mbappe score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 27¢ $12 16h
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11? BUY No 90¢ $63 16h
Will Kylian Mbappe score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 28¢ $13 16h
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 72¢ $57 19h
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 78¢ $62 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 16¢ $7 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 19h
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? SELL No 65¢ $16 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 16¢ $7 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 17¢ $7 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 19h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 19h
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $1 20h
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2 20h
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? SELL No 74¢ $18 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -9.9% -18.4% 12% 5% -9.9%
≤30d 185 -9.5% -18.1% 23% 16% -9.7%
≤90d 720 -2.8% -12.1% 39% 32% -9.7%
all 747 -0.1% -9.6% 41% 34% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 34% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 32% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -26.2% 30% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 27% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,543.95 · official $7,553.95 (match) · 3500 history records