Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:51:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0ca…7db6 crypto 117 markets active 0h ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,783 (-27%) realized −$1,783 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate21%25W / 92L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$56per market
Trades / day14.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,756
7 days−$2,756
14 days−$2,724
30 days−$1,336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-33.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -55.3% -59.5% 10% 10% -62.9%
≤30d 114 -29.5% -36.2% 21% 21% -28.1%
≤90d 117 -26.8% -33.8% 21% 21% -27.8%
all 117 -26.8% -33.8% 21% 21% -27.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.8% 21% -27.8%
10% -40.1% 21% -34.7%
15% -45.9% 20% -41.0%
20% -51.2% 19% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -40% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$136 vs −$51 · ×2.65 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,783
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses25 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage34d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 117 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$47 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$32 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$274 +697%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$67 +212%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $122 +$232 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $137 −$137 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +215%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $105 +$26 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $106 +$415 +392%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$235 +1106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $13 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $37 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $33 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $9 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $3 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $16 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $38 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $20 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $4 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $32 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $7 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $0 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $17 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $24 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $17 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $20 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $15 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $13 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $20 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $17 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $15 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $13 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 570 history records