Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0c2…b14d
sports · 810 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$662 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$661 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$104
Realized−$661
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses400 / 396
Est. fees paid−$185
Open positions15
Markets (closed)796 / 810
History coverage10d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day275.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 796 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104
7 days−$717
14 days−$661
30 days−$661
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 21¢ 100¢ $12 $58 +$46 (+373%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 58¢ 50¢ $31 $27 −$4 (-13%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 55¢ 100¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+80%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 77¢ 84¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 21¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 40¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 19¢ 0¢ $21 $1 −$20 (-97%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 10¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-55%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$2 -59%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26 +$4 +17%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +120%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $29 +$9 +30%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $12 −$5 -39%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $18 +$2 +12%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $28 −$17 -63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$10 -56%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$3 +74%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $2 +$4 +198%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) Jun 11 $6 −$3 -51%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $12 −$8 -61%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-17.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $19 −$4 -21%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 +$5 +50%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $7 +$13 +188%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 $0 +27%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $11 +$17 +147%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $89 −$89 -100%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $8 +$5 +70%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $14 −$2 -12%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 11 $27 +$42 +158%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $8 +$4 +44%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +65%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $2 +$2 +109%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$658
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $2 0m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $1 0m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL Vitality 82¢ $2 7m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 18¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 10¢ $1 7m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 86¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 9¢ $2 22m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 31¢ $1 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $2 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 21¢ $2 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 28¢ $1 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 10¢ $2 25m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 29¢ $2 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $2 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 32¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $1 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $1 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $2 28m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 22¢ $1 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 19¢ $2 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 87¢ $47 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $2 30m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 80¢ $1 34m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $1 34m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 61¢ $20 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 66¢ $2 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 534 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 46% -20.6%
≤30d 796 -0.8% -10.3% 50% 46% -15.0%
≤90d 796 -0.8% -10.3% 50% 46% -15.0%
all 796 -0.8% -10.3% 50% 46% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 46% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 42% -23.2%
15% -26.7% 37% -30.6%
20% -33.9% 30% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.33 · official $104.34 (match) · 3500 history records