Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:47:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0bd…939a
crypto · 503 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,439 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,439 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$6,439
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses254 / 537
Open positions0
Markets (closed)791 / 503
History coverage14d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day226.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 791 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,395
7 days−$9,611
14 days−$6,043
30 days−$6,439
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+125%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$53 +5286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,647
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $31 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $31 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $18 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $18 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $18 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $59 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $156 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $55 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $19 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $19 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $19 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $19 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $19 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $69 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+40.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 473 +60.5% +45.2% 20% 19% -65.2%
≤30d 791 +55.5% +40.7% 32% 31% -25.7%
≤90d 791 +55.5% +40.7% 32% 31% -25.7%
all 791 +55.5% +40.7% 32% 31% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover226.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.7% 31% -25.7%
10% ← realistic here +27.2% 29% -32.9%
15% +14.9% 27% -39.3%
20% +3.7% 24% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.77 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records