Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:37:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0b6…febf crypto 315 markets active 5d ago coverage 35d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$17 (+0%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate60%189W / 126L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day19.1pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$56
30 days−$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% −$256
sports 17% +$339
economics 3% −$96
politics 2% −$10
tech 0% −$15
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -3.8% -12.9% 58% 33% -8.2%
≤30d 216 -5.3% -14.3% 69% 39% -17.0%
≤90d 315 -6.5% -15.4% 60% 39% -10.6%
all 315 -6.5% -15.4% 60% 39% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 39% -10.6%
10% -23.5% 31% -19.2%
15% -30.9% 21% -27.0%
20% -37.6% 14% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 46% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$8 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses189 / 126
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)315 / 315
History coverage35d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 315 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $39 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $31 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $30 −$13 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $70 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $41 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $41 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $41 −$2 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$4 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $5 7d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 847 history records