Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc0ae…c9b1 crypto 25 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (134 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4 (-5%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate40%10W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day134.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (134 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-30.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -23.5% -30.8% 40% 16% -18.5%
≤30d 25 -23.5% -30.8% 40% 16% -18.5%
≤90d 25 -23.5% -30.8% 40% 16% -18.5%
all 25 -23.5% -30.8% 40% 16% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover134.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.8% 16% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -37.4% 4% -26.3%
15% -43.5% 0% -33.4%
20% -49.0% 0% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 61% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.38 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses10 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day134.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 25 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 142 history records