Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0a9…a428
sports · 685 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$179 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$195 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$195
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses420 / 257
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions8
Markets (closed)677 / 685
History coverage218d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 8 History 677 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$58
14 days+$87
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $15 $32 +$17 (+112%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score Yes 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Pacers Pacers 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 56¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova Madison Keys 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Nicholas Ionel vs Kacper Szymkowiak Nicholas Ionel 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Casper Ruud 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $106 +$53 +50%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 10 $5 +$1 +21%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 10 $5 +$1 +27%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$2 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 10 $5 +$2 +42%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 10 $5 +$2 +48%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $5 +$3 +50%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +31%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 +$3 +55%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $5 +$1 +27%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 +$2 +34%
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $5 $0 -4%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $5 +$1 +16%
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 +$1 +23%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $6 +$1 +18%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $5 +$1 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 06 $4 +$2 +56%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $5 +$1 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 06 $5 +$1 +29%
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $5 +$2 +31%
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $6 +$1 +20%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $5 +$2 +31%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $5 +$2 +32%
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 +$2 +38%
Barcelona vs. CB Murcia Jun 04 $8 −$8 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $5 −$5 -99%
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Jun 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $5 +$1 +27%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $7 +$1 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $5 +$2 +34%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $6 +$3 +52%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $4 +$43 +1025%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% +$62
other 39% −$176
crypto 2% −$35
world 1% +$10
tech 1% −$45
politics 0% −$1
finance 0% +$3
economics 0% +$4
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $15 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $20 12h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 80¢ $5 17h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $5 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $101 34h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 41h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 80¢ $5 41h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $5 41h
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova BUY Magda Linette 53¢ $5 2d
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens BUY Elise Mertens 76¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $2 2d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $5 3d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY Zizou Bergs 68¢ $5 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $5 3d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 80¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5 3d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 66¢ $5 4d
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth BUY James Duckworth 70¢ $5 4d
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $5 4d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis BUY Sorana Cirstea 82¢ $5 4d
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic BUY Iva Jovic 78¢ $5 4d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova BUY Marie Bouzkova 67¢ $5 4d
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut BUY Saski Baskonia 74¢ $5 6d
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $5 6d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $5 6d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 73¢ $5 6d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $5 6d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $5 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 78¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +15.0% +4.0% 83% 83% +10.3%
≤30d 127 +2.4% -7.4% 68% 68% -16.2%
≤90d 361 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 64% -12.6%
all 677 -3.7% -12.9% 62% 59% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 59% -12.6%
10% -21.2% 51% -21.0%
15% -28.8% 36% -28.6%
20% -35.8% 22% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.36 · official $51.36 (match) · 1353 history records