Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc0a2…4dc3
crypto · 251 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$433 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$433 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$433
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses99 / 152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)251 / 251
History coverage8d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day164.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$277
14 days−$433
30 days−$433
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$4 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $32 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $42 −$11 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$433
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 212 -27.0% -33.9% 38% 29% -15.8%
≤30d 251 -25.0% -32.1% 39% 31% -16.8%
≤90d 251 -25.0% -32.1% 39% 31% -16.8%
all 251 -25.0% -32.1% 39% 31% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover164.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.1% 31% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -38.6% 20% -24.7%
15% -44.5% 14% -32.0%
20% -50.0% 8% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1385 history records