Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc099…4c31
sports · 199 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$93 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$92
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses126 / 72
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)198 / 199
History coverage73d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$0
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? Yes 29¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $0 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 7? Jun 08 $2 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $1 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 07 $3 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $3 $0 +8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5? Jun 06 $1 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? Jun 06 $2 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 4? Jun 05 $3 $0 -15%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $6 $0 -1%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 5? Jun 04 $3 $0 -3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 4? Jun 04 $3 $0 +16%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 4? Jun 04 $3 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 3? Jun 04 $3 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $9 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Jun 04 $3 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $3 $0 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $15 +$12 +81%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? Jun 01 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? Jun 01 $3 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31? May 31 $3 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? May 30 $3 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? May 30 $3 $0 -0%
Will Russia enter Riasne by June 30, 2026? May 29 $1 $0 +3%
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? May 29 $2 $0 -6%
Will Solana reach $90 on May 29? May 29 $3 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29? May 29 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Solana reach $95 on May 28? May 29 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 25? May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25? May 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24? May 25 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24? May 25 $5 $0 -1%
Will Solana reach $100 May 18-24? May 25 $1 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24? May 24 $6 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 23? May 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23? May 24 $3 +$2 +63%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23? May 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% −$85
crypto 38% +$4
weather 10% −$8
other 5% −$4
world 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 92¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 4h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? SELL No 81¢ $3 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $3 12h
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? SELL No 88¢ $1 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 63¢ $1 21h
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? SELL No 93¢ $1 22h
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? BUY No 86¢ $1 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 93¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 93¢ $2 3d
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? BUY No 77¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 90¢ $2 3d
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 8? SELL No 100¢ $3 3d
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 8? BUY No 99¢ $3 4d
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? BUY No 97¢ $1 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 76¢ $1 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 4d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 7? BUY No 96¢ $2 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 86¢ $3 5d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 82¢ $3 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5? BUY No 96¢ $1 6d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $1 6d
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? SELL No 96¢ $0 6d
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? SELL No 96¢ $1 6d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 5? SELL No 99¢ $0 6d
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $0 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +4.8% -5.2% 56% 11% -6.8%
≤30d 98 -6.8% -15.6% 55% 9% -24.9%
≤90d 198 -5.3% -14.3% 64% 33% -16.0%
all 198 -5.3% -14.3% 64% 33% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 33% -16.0%
10% -22.5% 16% -24.1%
15% -30.0% 9% -31.4%
20% -36.9% 5% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.07 · official $1.61 (match) · 1277 history records