Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc099…9d24
crypto · 647 markets active 0h ago
6.5score
+$6,667 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,667 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,667
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses577 / 70
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)647 / 647
History coverage102d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 647 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$8
14 days+$7
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$17 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$10 +116%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,665
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $18 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $17 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $16 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $16 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $16 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $13 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +6.1% -4.0% 79% 50% -9.2%
≤30d 352 +5.2% -4.8% 81% 47% -9.8%
≤90d 549 +24.9% +13.0% 88% 51% +9.2%
all 647 +28.8% +16.6% 89% 57% +9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.6% 57% +9.5%
10% +5.4% 40% -1.0%
15% -4.8% 27% -10.6%
20% -14.1% 20% -19.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1791 history records