Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc096…282c
crypto · 1340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$304 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$304
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses880 / 459
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1339 / 1340
History coverage62d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$16
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 89¢ 94¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$304
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 +0.5% -9.1% 82% 44% -8.4%
≤30d 515 -1.1% -10.5% 81% 32% -9.5%
≤90d 1339 -9.1% -17.8% 66% 39% -12.3%
all 1339 -9.1% -17.8% 66% 39% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 39% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 29% -20.7%
15% -32.8% 19% -28.3%
20% -39.4% 13% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.67 · official $4.58 (match) · 3062 history records