Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:03:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc095…2d65 sports 1469 markets active 13h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,309 (+3%) realized +$2,309 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate98%1434W / 29L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day72.9pace
Fees−$30est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 39d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 88% +$253
other 12% −$22
world 0% −$49
crypto 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 402 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 1014 +1.5% -8.2% 98% 2% -9.3%
≤90d 1463 +1.0% -8.7% 98% 2% -9.3%
all 1463 +1.0% -8.7% 98% 2% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 2% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 1% -18.0%
15% -25.4% 0% -25.9%
20% -32.7% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$37 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,309
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1434 / 29
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1463 / 1469
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$49
Trades / day72.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1463 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Martin vs. Farzam: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Marinkov vs. Langmo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Langmo (-1.5) vs Marinkov (+1.5) Jun 16 $14 $0 +1%
Marinkov vs. Langmo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bertola vs. Wu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Faria vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Bertola vs Wu Jun 16 $89 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Bertola (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5) Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Erhard vs. Silva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Riera vs Lollia Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Lamens vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Pablo Aunion vs Maximillian Figl Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Otzipka vs Burel Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Blois: Jana Otzipka vs Clara Burel Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Diallo Jun 16 $32 +$3 +10%
ITF Women San Gregorio: Completed Match: Miriana Tona vs Marta Lombard Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Krumich vs. Wazny: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $0 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Balus vs Toma Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Gauff/Pegula vs. Potapova/Shnaider: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Gauff/Pegula vs. Potapova/Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $79 +$1 +1%
Mackenzie McDonald vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Gauff/Pegula vs. Potapova/Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
ITF Dinard: Thalya Le Runigo vs Lena Thomas Iglesias Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Micic (-1.5) vs Jorge (+1.5) Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Ravel vs. Blancaneaux: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Balus vs Toma Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bass/Duncan vs. Chandrasekar/Yuzuki: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bass/Duncan vs. Chandrasekar/Yuzuki: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Torre vs. Dietrich: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Gauff/Pegula vs Potapova/Shnaider Jun 16 $98 +$3 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Arrastia vs Juan Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Sweeny vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Milushev vs. Iakubenko: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Tomic vs. Gannon: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Giaccio vs. Canizares: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Bojica vs Kovacevic Jun 16 $98 +$1 +1%
Rottgering vs. Buldorini: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Giaccio vs Canizares Jun 16 $98 +$1 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Aurora Corvi vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanek Jun 16 $31 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Khachanov vs Quinn Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Ribecai vs. Squire: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5) Jun 16 $7 $0 +2%
Keys vs. Wang: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Keys vs. Wang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Madison Keys vs. Xinyu Wang: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Khachanov vs. Quinn: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Martin vs. Farzam: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 13h
Marinkov vs. Langmo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 13h
Set Handicap: Langmo (-1.5) vs Marinkov (+1.5) BUY Langmo 99¢ $14 13h
Marinkov vs. Langmo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 13h
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova SELL Taborda 100¢ $81 15h
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova SELL Taborda 100¢ $5 15h
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova SELL Taborda 100¢ $5 15h
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova SELL Taborda 100¢ $5 15h
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova SELL Taborda 100¢ $5 15h
Set 2 Winner: Bertola vs Wu SELL Bertola 100¢ $90 15h
Set Handicap: Bertola (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5) SELL Bertola 100¢ $101 15h
Set 2 Winner: Taborda vs Michalkova BUY Taborda 99¢ $100 15h
Set 2 Winner: Bertola vs Wu BUY Bertola 99¢ $89 15h
Set Handicap: Bertola (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5) BUY Bertola 99¢ $100 15h
Bertola vs. Wu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 15h
Faria vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 15h
Set 2 Winner: Riera vs Lollia SELL Riera 100¢ $101 15h
Set 2 Winner: Riera vs Lollia BUY Riera 99¢ $100 15h
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $81 15h
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 15h
Erhard vs. Silva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 15h
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 15h
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 15h
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 15h
ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Pablo Aunion vs Maximillian Figl SELL Pablo Aunion 100¢ $101 15h
ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Pablo Aunion vs Maximillian Figl BUY Pablo Aunion 99¢ $100 15h
Cinalli vs. Herea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $100 15h
ITF Blois: Jana Otzipka vs Clara Burel SELL Clara Burel 100¢ $101 16h
ITF Blois: Jana Otzipka vs Clara Burel BUY Clara Burel 99¢ $100 16h
Lamens vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 98¢ $25 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records