Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:41:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
C0 0xc08e…f7b0 crypto 115 markets active 3d ago coverage 24d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$4,531 (+25%) realized +$4,531 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate57%65W / 50L
Drawdown10%max
Avg bet$156per market
Trades / day110.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$19
14 days+$428
30 days+$3,495
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,495
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +18.5% +7.2% 54% 46% -8.0%
≤30d 115 +17.8% +6.6% 57% 49% +8.7%
≤90d 115 +17.8% +6.6% 57% 49% +8.7%
all 115 +17.8% +6.6% 57% 49% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 49% +8.7%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 40% -1.7%
15% -12.9% 30% -11.2%
20% -21.5% 26% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +20% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late +11% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
22.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$90 vs −$47 · ×1.93 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.5 per $1 lost it wins $2.5
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,531
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses65 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)115 / 115
History coverage24d
Avg bet$156
Trades / day110.7
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 115 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $96 +$20 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$14 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $124 +$116 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$22 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $120 −$74 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $55 −$25 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $218 −$58 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$32 +322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $187 +$32 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $171 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $74 +$25 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $190 −$37 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $177 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $241 −$26 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $154 +$42 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $101 +$67 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $96 +$31 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $153 +$39 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 07 $42 −$11 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $203 +$113 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $58 +$187 +320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $71 +$24 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $235 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 06 $142 −$30 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $194 +$76 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 06 $36 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 06 $105 −$27 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 06 $32 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 06 $114 +$33 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $43 +$24 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 30 $153 +$45 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 30 $50 −$48 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 29 $17 +$27 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 29 $85 −$13 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 29 $158 +$47 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 29 $79 +$190 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 29 $219 +$30 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 29 $91 +$38 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2703 history records