Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:01:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc08d…1e00
other · 530 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$246 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$272 · open +$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized−$272
Unrealized+$28
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses425 / 103
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions2
Markets (closed)528 / 530
History coverage183d
Avg bet$247
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$245
14 days−$330
30 days−$324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 100¢ $37 $74 +$37 (+100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $40 −$24 -62%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $44 +$13 +30%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 +$17 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$8 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 $0 -2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$14 +29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$13 +26%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$36 +848%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $45 +$13 +29%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $8 +$10 +138%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$24 +267%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $9 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$3 -5%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $51 −$2 -4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$3 -5%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $41 +$43 +105%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$27 +55%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$18 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$118 +238%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$34 +67%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $17 +$1 +8%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $257 −$38 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $120 −$120 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $48 +$113 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $120 +$36 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$30
crypto 9% +$39
tech 2% +$3
sports 2% −$248
weather 1% +$4
culture 1% +$1
politics 0% −$2
world 0% −$11
finance 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $27 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 50¢ $24 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $15 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $15 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 32¢ $5 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $15 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $24 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $6 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $5 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 77¢ $15 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $29 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $5 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 74¢ $50 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 23¢ $6 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 99¢ $50 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $15 12h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 99¢ $27 14h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 99¢ $3 14h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 99¢ $19 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $18 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 68¢ $19 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 67¢ $20 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $10 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +7.1% -3.1% 49% 36% -19.5%
≤30d 105 -5.8% -14.8% 55% 25% -20.0%
≤90d 231 -0.9% -10.4% 79% 13% -11.2%
all 528 -0.2% -9.7% 80% 6% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 6% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 4% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 3% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 2% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.17 · official $74.17 (match) · 1405 history records