Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:45:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc07f…06b2 crypto 9 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$212 (-48%) realized −$27 · open −$185
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -74% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -80% what you keep after slip
Net edge-80%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day21.0pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$30now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$212
other 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-76.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -74.3% -76.8% 0% 0% -32.3%
≤30d 3 -74.3% -76.8% 0% 0% -32.3%
≤90d 3 -74.3% -76.8% 0% 0% -32.3%
all 3 -74.3% -76.8% 0% 0% -32.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -76.8% 0% -32.3%
10% ← realistic here -79.0% 0% -38.8%
15% -81.0% 0% -44.7%
20% -82.9% 0% -50.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -74% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$9 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$30
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$185
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions6
Markets (closed)3 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 3 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $104 −$24 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 76¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $110 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.11 · official $30.12 (match) · 22 history records