Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T12:49:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc07f…1449 crypto 1421 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,038 (-37%) realized −$4,038 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate54%769W / 651L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day92.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$539
other 4% −$92
sports 0% +$5
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -6.5% -15.4% 57% 56% -12.2%
≤30d 1420 -5.3% -14.3% 54% 52% -14.9%
≤90d 1420 -5.3% -14.3% 54% 52% -14.9%
all 1420 -5.3% -14.3% 54% 52% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 52% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 52% -23.1%
15% -30.0% 44% -30.5%
20% -36.9% 35% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,038
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses769 / 651
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1420 / 1421
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day92.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1420 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$6 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records