Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:33:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc07d…6990 crypto 1494 markets active 3h ago coverage 48d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d only
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$170 (+2%) realized +$170 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate87%1305W / 189L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day66.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days−$22
14 days+$61
30 days+$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 +0.3% -9.3% 92% 13% -11.0%
≤30d 1111 +1.6% -8.0% 93% 22% -8.6%
≤90d 1494 -0.2% -9.7% 87% 24% -10.4%
all 1494 -0.2% -9.7% 87% 24% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 24% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 9% -19.0%
15% -26.2% 7% -26.8%
20% -33.5% 6% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized+$170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1305 / 189
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1494 / 1494
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day66.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1494 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$10 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.78 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records