Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:37:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C0 0xc07c…d8f3 crypto 1662 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$274 (-8%) realized −$273 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate31%432W / 975L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day115.1pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$583
7 days−$500
14 days−$353
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$486
sports 6% +$56
other 1% +$16
tech 0% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 -45.0% -50.2% 15% 15% -55.8%
≤30d 1407 +0.1% -9.4% 31% 31% -12.1%
≤90d 1407 +0.1% -9.4% 31% 31% -12.1%
all 1407 +0.1% -9.4% 31% 31% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 31% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 30% -20.5%
15% -26.0% 30% -28.2%
20% -33.3% 29% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late +12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$2 · ×2.14 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$273
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses432 / 975
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1407 / 1662
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day115.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1407 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-62%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 499 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 77,400 on April 24, 6AM ET? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? Jun 17 $9 −$20 -212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 77,200 on April 25, 1PM ET? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 34¢ $3 9m
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 49¢ $7 10m
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $4 1h
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $10 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 AND Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 3.5 AND Wil BUY 4¢ $1 1h
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will C BUY 3¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? SELL Yes 39¢ $6 2h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 SELL Over 98¢ $6 2h
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 98¢ $8 2h
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 98¢ $8 3h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 SELL Over 98¢ $5 3h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 3h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 54¢ $3 3h
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 4h
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $4 4h
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $4 4h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 80¢ $7 5h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $12 5h
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 6h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $5 6h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 6h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 27¢ $2 26h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 35¢ $3 26h
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $9 27h
France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 27h
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5 SELL Over 20¢ $1 27h
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.32 · official $1.32 (match) · 3500 history records