Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C0 0xc076…d987 sports 415 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (146 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,961 (-9%) realized −$2,952 · open −$9
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate67%276W / 137L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$78per market
Trades / day145.8pace
Fees−$268est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$165now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$473
14 days−$385
30 days−$1,082
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 89% −$856
other 9% −$163
crypto 1% −$53
weather 0% −$6
world 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (146 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -6.4% -15.3% 56% 29% -21.7%
≤30d 413 -4.8% -13.8% 67% 28% -12.6%
≤90d 413 -4.8% -13.8% 67% 28% -12.6%
all 413 -4.8% -13.8% 67% 28% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover145.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 28% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 17% -20.9%
15% -29.6% 11% -28.6%
20% -36.5% 8% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$24 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$165
Realized−$2,952
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses276 / 137
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$268
Open positions1
Markets (closed)413 / 415
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$78
Trades / day145.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 413 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 87¢ 82¢ $174 $165 −$9 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw Jun 16 $35 +$1 +4%
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? Jun 16 $162 $0 +0%
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manas Jun 16 $27 −$27 -99%
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $38 $0 -0%
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Jun 16 $50 +$4 +7%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 16 $210 +$8 +4%
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $22 +$3 +14%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 15 $64 −$39 -61%
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaier Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 15 $29 +$13 +44%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $43 −$4 -10%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $31 +$1 +4%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $13 +$1 +11%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $15 +$4 +27%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $26 +$2 +6%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $19 +$5 +26%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $63 −$33 -52%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $23 +$3 +11%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $53 +$1 +1%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $11 −$6 -53%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $9 +$6 +59%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $36 +$1 +3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $130 −$123 -94%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $3 +$17 +525%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $14 +$18 +129%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $20 −$1 -3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $8 +$1 +17%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $56 −$5 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 87¢ $175 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 75¢ $8 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 75¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? SELL No 98¢ $44 1h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? SELL No 98¢ $29 1h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? SELL No 98¢ $59 1h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? SELL No 98¢ $30 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 75¢ $12 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 79¢ $12 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 72¢ $11 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw SELL Eliakim Coulibaly 29¢ $11 1h
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshaw BUY Eliakim Coulibaly 28¢ $11 1h
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manas BUY Manoj Dhamne Manas 43¢ $4 2h
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manas BUY Manoj Dhamne Manas 43¢ $4 2h
Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Manoj Dhamne Manas BUY Manoj Dhamne Manas 61¢ $19 2h
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? SELL No 96¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? SELL No 96¢ $35 2h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? BUY No 98¢ $62 3h
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? BUY No 98¢ $100 3h
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? BUY No 96¢ $38 4h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 42¢ $16 5h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 26¢ $3 5h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 26¢ $1 5h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 26¢ $1 5h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 35¢ $7 5h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 54¢ $23 6h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 54¢ $5 6h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 53¢ $9 6h
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 52¢ $11 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $165.00 · official $165.00 (match) · 3500 history records