Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T11:49:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc072…590b crypto 554 markets active 3h ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$20 (-0%) realized −$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate62%344W / 210L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day36.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$29
14 days−$79
30 days−$856
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$569
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -62.4% -66.0% 0% 0% -64.8%
≤30d 445 -5.7% -14.7% 58% 49% -14.5%
≤90d 554 -2.5% -11.8% 62% 49% -12.3%
all 554 -2.5% -11.8% 62% 49% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 49% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 36% -20.7%
15% -28.0% 24% -28.4%
20% -35.0% 13% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$16 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses344 / 210
Open positions0
Markets (closed)554 / 554
History coverage37d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 554 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $26 −$11 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$19 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $62 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$19 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$8 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$11 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $37 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$8 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$5 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $13 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $34 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $9 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1486 history records