trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 96% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 23 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 96% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $293 | $293 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $232 | $232 | −$0 (-0%) |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $138 | $138 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $662 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $651 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $648 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $363 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $285 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $641 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12? | Jun 13 | $236 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026? | Jun 11 | $307 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Jun 11 | $336 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 4? | Jun 07 | $143 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? | Jun 07 | $171 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Chainlink dip to $6 in May? | Jun 02 | $260 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | Jun 01 | $180 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k? | May 25 | $640 | +$1 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $314 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $330 | $0 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $643 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 01 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | May 01 | $392 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Apr 22 | $640 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | Apr 10 | $639 | +$1 | +0% |