Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:30:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc052…b51a crypto 2156 markets active 1h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$944 (+7%) realized +$944 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate61%1345W / 843L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day83.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -54.4% -58.8% 33% 32% -70.7%
≤30d 2188 -4.6% -13.7% 61% 60% -19.4%
≤90d 2188 -4.6% -13.7% 61% 60% -19.4%
all 2188 -4.6% -13.7% 61% 60% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 60% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 49% -27.1%
15% -29.5% 38% -34.2%
20% -36.4% 29% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized+$944
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1345 / 843
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2188 / 2156
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day83.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2188 Trades
no open positions (499 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.17 · official $6.28 (match) · 3500 history records