Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:49:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc050…30dd
crypto · 596 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$133 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$128
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses300 / 279
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions17
Markets (closed)579 / 596
History coverage158d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 17 History 579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$6
14 days+$20
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 30¢ 85¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+183%)
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 74¢ 69¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 70¢ 66¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Over 79¢ 64¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-20%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 56¢ 57¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Knicks 61¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 51¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Knicks 35¢ 29¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Knicks 27¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Knicks 32¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 28¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Over 55¢ 6¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-90%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Atlanta Dream 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $2 +$3 +158%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +165%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +109%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +119%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Jun 11 $2 +$3 +146%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +67%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Jun 10 $2 +$4 +180%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 10 $2 +$4 +216%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$169
other 15% +$24
world 10% +$3
sports 8% +$11
tech 3% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3 1h
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) BUY Knicks 32¢ $2 2h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 60¢ $3 2h
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 30¢ $2 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 43¢ $2 4h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 8h
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 61¢ $3 8h
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) BUY Knicks 27¢ $2 10h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 11h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY St. Louis Cardinals 28¢ $2 11h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 56¢ $3 12h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 49¢ $3 13h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 13h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 16h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 22h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Tampa Bay Rays 66¢ $3 22h
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 38¢ $2 23h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 60¢ $3 23h
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Knicks 35¢ $2 35h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 37¢ $2 35h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $3 38h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 40¢ $2 46h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 35¢ $2 46h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 29¢ $2 2d
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 2d
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) BUY Atlanta Dream 55¢ $3 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 22¢ $2 2d
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 2d
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 78¢ $4 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +2.9% -6.9% 55% 55% -7.0%
≤30d 200 +4.2% -5.7% 54% 52% -6.8%
≤90d 544 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 49% -14.0%
all 579 +2.2% -7.5% 52% 51% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 51% -11.6%
10% -16.4% 51% -20.1%
15% -24.5% 48% -27.8%
20% -31.9% 47% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.56 · official $40.62 (match) · 2594 history records