Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:54:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc04f…db36
crypto · 126 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$48 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62
Realized+$53
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses69 / 51
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)120 / 126
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$76
14 days+$76
30 days+$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 63¢ 76¢ $8 $9 +$2 (+21%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 53¢ 24¢ $8 $3 −$4 (-56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 47¢ 6¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) Thunder 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22? No 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$7 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$10 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +88%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$25 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Chanta vs. Hontama: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$50
sports 1% −$2
other 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +16.7% +5.6% 63% 51% +2.8%
≤30d 79 +16.7% +5.6% 63% 51% +2.8%
≤90d 120 +10.4% -0.1% 58% 41% -2.7%
all 120 +10.4% -0.1% 58% 41% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.1% 41% -2.7%
10% -9.6% 34% -12.0%
15% -18.4% 29% -20.5%
20% -26.4% 26% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.91 · official $61.68 (match) · 512 history records